Best shape in decades

Would you consider the title describes the U.S. Military right now?

No? Maybe the U.S. Army?

No?

Now, I don’t have any beef with General McConville. He seems like a nice enough person. And according to RAND studies, while the military has been struggling to recruit new members, its actually doing well overall on retention numbers, meeting around 100% of its retention goals.

But best shape in decades? The military is a young person’s game, and the Army more so than most. Retention spiked during the COVID pandemic because the military basically suspended all the rules to desperately keep people in, and people that were getting out were looking at a terrible job market, so it was a win-win for everyone. Then the military went on the COVID vaccine witch-hunt, lost Afghanistan and in general lost its way.

The high retention you see now is not going to last. If you had 18 years in and fell under the old “20 or nothing” retirement, of course you’re going to stay in. But the retirement changed in 2018, so we’re now at the 5-year mark, and retention for servicemembers that enlisted under the new retirement is going to become a problem. The Army has made up the overall numbers by lowering physical fitness standards and failing less people in boot camp, but that won’t make a difference when there simply aren’t enough people in boot camp.

People will continue to blast Senator Tuberville for “depriving” the Army of Senate-confirmed leadership, but insisting that the Army and all the other services focus on killing our enemies instead of innocent babies is the only long-term fix. Maybe we’ll get lucky and more of the generals and admirals that lost our last wars will retire instead of hanging around. One could only hope.

This post represents the views of the author and not those of the Department of Defense, Department of the Navy, or any other government agency.